Three things to Watch in UNC Basketball’s top 25 matchup with Kentucky

Michigan State played one hack of a defensive game against UNC, holding the Heels to a 38% shooting average and clamping down on UNC’s shooting from beyond the arc for a 74-58 win. A combination of poor play on UNC’s part and excellent execution on the Spartans led to the Heels suffering their first loss of the season.

Carolina will have little to time to lick their wound though; up next is another top 25 opponent in Kentucky. The Wildcats are a bit of a mystery this season; they sport a 5-2 record, but all five wins have been against team ranked 250th or worse by KenPom, while the losses are to top 25 teams Louisville and Michigan State. Kentucky will be hoping this game becomes their first statement win, while the Heels are hoping to have a two-game losing streak so early in the season.

UNC’s first road game

The Heels have played seven games, but this will be their first true road game of the season. Their first five games were played in the comfortable confines of the Dean Dome; the last two were neutral site matchups in Florida as part of the Fort Meyers Tip-Off. UNC’s matchup against Kentucky will be their only true road game of the non-conference portion of Carolina’s schedule.

Playing in Rupp Arena is never easy as the visiting team. It’s the second biggest college basketball stadium by capacity, and UK basketball fans are about as loud as they come. UNC seemed a little rattled in the second half of their game against Michigan State; while most of this was probably due to the Spartans defense, I did notice the MSU contingent of fans made a lot of noise. Playing in a top 25 matchup in front of a hostile crowd will help the Heels down the road when they’re visiting Durham and Raleigh.

Kentucky’s guard rotation

Kentucky has seriously been bitten by the injury big this season. Prized transfer Jayden Quaintance has yet to take the court as he recovers from a knee injury he suffered while at Arizona State that ultimately required surgery. Junior forward Mo Dioubate has been out since suffering an injury in UK’s loss to Michigan State, and his timetable to return is unknown.

Arguably the biggest blow for the Wildcats was losing point guard Jaland Lowe to a shoulder injury. Lowe injured the shoulder in Kentucky’s Blue/White scrimmage and reaggravated it after playing in two games. It’s possible he will require season-ending surgery. Either way, he shouldn’t play against UNC.

Lowe was supposed to be the engine that makes the UK offense run. Denzel Aberdeen has gotten the lion’s share of the point guard minutes in Lowe’s absence but doesn’t have the same ceiling as the Pitt transfer (Lowe put up 33 points and 8 assists in his two games combined against the Heels last year). Kentucky will miss him as long as he is out, but the question is whether the Heels can take advantage while also missing Seth Trimble.

How does the ACC fare against the SEC in the ACC/SEC Challenge?

Last year was a bad year for ACC basketball. The league lagged well behind the other power conferences in pretty much every metric available and suffered a lot of bad non-conference losses. The culmination of this was the league only getting four of its 18 teams in the NCAA tournament; only two teams won a game in the Big Dance, with one being UNC’s opening round win over San Diego State in Dayton.

It’s unlikely the ACC is nearly as bad this year, but the ACC/SEC Challenge is an opportunity to change the narrative that’s surrounded the ACC the past few years. The SEC was the best conference in the country last year and absolutely rolled the ACC in their head-to-head matchups in the annual challenge by winning 14 out of the 16 games. Metrics such as KenPom currently have the SEC as the best conference in the country. The ACC doesn’t necessarily have to win the Challenge to gain some respect, but they need to at least keep it close. Competitive losses or wins against the SEC will bolster the ACC’s metrics when the NCAA starts sorting out what’s a Quad 1 win for NCAA tournament in March. Quad 4 conference games are landmines UNC doesn’t need on their schedule in January and February.